Making sense of wickedness: Directionality heuristics for challenge-led innovation policy
Publication date
2026-10
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Abstract
This article contributes to the burgeoning literature on directionality challenges by introducing directionality heuristics as a lens to conceptualize how policymakers and other stakeholders interpret and respond to problems in challenge-led innovation policy. Our starting point is that the “wickedness” of problems is strongly shaped by subjective and context-specific perceptions. We therefore utilize and adapt a sense-making framework, originally developed in the management literature, to distinguish different ways in which actors engage with the complexity and uncertainty of such problems. Building on this perspective, we conceptualize directionality heuristics as domain-specific rules of thumb that guide how policymakers interpret and address problems. We demonstrate the usefulness of this concept by applying it retrospectively to the Dutch Mission-oriented Topsector and Innovation Policy. The illustration highlights how stakeholders' differing views on the wickedness of problems translate into particular directionality challenges as well as suitable practices to address those. We conclude by outlining three key propositions, which emphasize the main conceptual contributions and provide concrete paths for future research and policy.
Keywords
Complexity, Cynefin, Directionality, Heuristics, Innovation policy, Nescience, Sense-making, Uncertainty, Wicked problems, Strategy and Management, Management Science and Operations Research, Management of Technology and Innovation
Citation
Mueller, M, Schlaile, M P, Lang, S, Janssen, M J, Wanzenböck, I, Bogner, K, Zscheischler, J, Schramm, M & Pyka, A 2026, 'Making sense of wickedness : Directionality heuristics for challenge-led innovation policy', Research Policy, vol. 55, no. 8, 105513. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.respol.2026.105513