Making sense of wickedness: Directionality heuristics for challenge-led innovation policy

Publication date

2026-10

Authors

Mueller, Matthias
Schlaile, Michael P.
Lang, Stephanie
Janssen, M.J.ORCID 0000-0002-6788-511XISNI 0000000492899219
Wanzenböck, IrisORCID 0000-0002-1727-5567ISNI 0000000492963030
Bogner, KristinaORCID 0000-0002-1871-9828ISNI 0000000451070877
Zscheischler, Jana
Schramm, Michael
Pyka, Andreas

Editors

Advisors

Supervisors

Document Type

Article
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License

cc_by

Abstract

This article contributes to the burgeoning literature on directionality challenges by introducing directionality heuristics as a lens to conceptualize how policymakers and other stakeholders interpret and respond to problems in challenge-led innovation policy. Our starting point is that the “wickedness” of problems is strongly shaped by subjective and context-specific perceptions. We therefore utilize and adapt a sense-making framework, originally developed in the management literature, to distinguish different ways in which actors engage with the complexity and uncertainty of such problems. Building on this perspective, we conceptualize directionality heuristics as domain-specific rules of thumb that guide how policymakers interpret and address problems. We demonstrate the usefulness of this concept by applying it retrospectively to the Dutch Mission-oriented Topsector and Innovation Policy. The illustration highlights how stakeholders' differing views on the wickedness of problems translate into particular directionality challenges as well as suitable practices to address those. We conclude by outlining three key propositions, which emphasize the main conceptual contributions and provide concrete paths for future research and policy.

Keywords

Complexity, Cynefin, Directionality, Heuristics, Innovation policy, Nescience, Sense-making, Uncertainty, Wicked problems, Strategy and Management, Management Science and Operations Research, Management of Technology and Innovation

Citation

Mueller, M, Schlaile, M P, Lang, S, Janssen, M J, Wanzenböck, I, Bogner, K, Zscheischler, J, Schramm, M & Pyka, A 2026, 'Making sense of wickedness : Directionality heuristics for challenge-led innovation policy', Research Policy, vol. 55, no. 8, 105513. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.respol.2026.105513