Conducting Meta-Analyses Based on p Values: Reservations and Recommendations for Applying p-Uniform and p-Curve

Publication date

2016-09-01

Authors

van Aert, Robbie C M
Wicherts, Jelte M.
van Assen, MarcelISNI 0000000377508681

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Document Type

Article
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Abstract

Because of overwhelming evidence of publication bias in psychology, techniques to correct meta-analytic estimates for such bias are greatly needed. The methodology on which the p-uniform and p-curve methods are based has great promise for providing accurate meta-analytic estimates in the presence of publication bias. However, in this article, we show that in some situations, p-curve behaves erratically, whereas p-uniform may yield implausible estimates of negative effect size. Moreover, we show that (and explain why) p-curve and p-uniform result in overestimation of effect size under moderate-to-large heterogeneity and may yield unpredictable bias when researchers employ p-hacking. We offer hands-on recommendations on applying and interpreting results of meta-analyses in general and p-uniform and p-curve in particular. Both methods as well as traditional methods are applied to a meta-analysis on the effect of weight on judgments of importance. We offer guidance for applying p-uniform or p-curve using R and a user-friendly web application for applying p-uniform.

Keywords

heterogeneity, meta-analysis, p-curve, p-hacking, p-uniform, General Psychology

Citation

van Aert, R C M, Wicherts, J M & van Assen, M A L M 2016, 'Conducting Meta-Analyses Based on p Values: Reservations and Recommendations for Applying p-Uniform and p-Curve', Perspectives on Psychological Science, vol. 11, no. 5, pp. 713-729. https://doi.org/10.1177/1745691616650874