Defining patients living long-term with incurable cancer: A modified hybrid Delphi study

Publication date

2026-02

Authors

Bouma, Ruben
Stegmann, Mariken E.
Raijmakers, Natasja J.H.
van Zuylen, Lia
Reyners, Anna K.L.
van Asselt, Kristel M.ORCID 0000-0001-9679-2177
van Gastel, Maatje D.A.
Brandenbarg, Daan
Geerse, Olaf P.

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Abstract

Background: Therapeutic advances have significantly extended survival for certain groups of patients with incurable cancer, creating a growing population living long-term with incurable cancer. However, the absence of standardized definitions and terminology has contributed to limited recognition of this distinct group and their specific care needs. Aim: To achieve consensus on definitions and terminology for patients living long-term with incurable cancer by incorporating perspectives of patients, informal caregivers, healthcare professionals, and other relevant stakeholders. Design: A modified hybrid Delphi study, comprising focus groups and a three-round Delphi consensus process. Setting/participants: Three focus groups were conducted with patients (n = 11), informal caregivers (n = 4), and healthcare professionals (n = 6). The multidisciplinary expert group comprised medical specialists (n = 5), epidemiologists (n = 3), and patient advocates (n = 2). The Delphi study involved 78 panelists (73 unique respondents) divided into three subpanels: patients and informal caregivers (n = 22), healthcare professionals (n = 36), and other stakeholders (n = 20). All participants were from the Netherlands. Results: We achieved 88% consensus on the terminology: Patients living long-term with incurable cancer. Consensus was reached on the definition (94%) for patients living for two or more years with: (1) incurable metastatic cancer, (2) incurable hematological malignancies, (3) incurable locally advanced cancer, or (4) patients with exceptionally long survival for their cancer type, despite not meeting the 2-year criterion. Conclusions: This modified hybrid Delphi study established the first consensus-based framework for patients living long-term with incurable cancer, providing essential groundwork for improved recognition and tailored care approaches for this population.

Keywords

cancer, definition, incurable, long-term, modified hybrid Delphi, oncology, Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine

Citation

Bouma, R, Stegmann, M E, Raijmakers, N J H, van Zuylen, L, Reyners, A K L, van Asselt, K, van Gastel, M D A, Brandenbarg, D & Geerse, O P 2026, 'Defining patients living long-term with incurable cancer : A modified hybrid Delphi study', Palliative Medicine, vol. 40, no. 2, pp. 217-227. https://doi.org/10.1177/02692163251400114