The Prevalence of Marginally Significant Results in Psychology Over Time

Publication date

2019-04-01

Authors

Olsson-Collentine, Anton
van Assen, Marcel A.L.M.ISNI 0000000377508681
Hartgerink, Chris H.J.

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Document Type

Article
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Abstract

We examined the percentage of p values (.05 < p ≤.10) reported as marginally significant in 44,200 articles, across nine psychology disciplines, published in 70 journals belonging to the American Psychological Association between 1985 and 2016. Using regular expressions, we extracted 42,504 p values between.05 and.10. Almost 40% of p values in this range were reported as marginally significant, although there were considerable differences between disciplines. The practice is most common in organizational psychology (45.4%) and least common in clinical psychology (30.1%). Contrary to what was reported by previous researchers, our results showed no evidence of an increasing trend in any discipline; in all disciplines, the percentage of p values reported as marginally significant was decreasing or constant over time. We recommend against reporting these results as marginally significant because of the low evidential value of p values between.05 and.10.

Keywords

APA, marginal significance, null-hypothesis significance testing, open data, open materials, over time, p values, General Psychology

Citation

Olsson-Collentine, A, van Assen, M A L M & Hartgerink, C H J 2019, 'The Prevalence of Marginally Significant Results in Psychology Over Time', Psychological Science, vol. 30, no. 4, pp. 576-586. https://doi.org/10.1177/0956797619830326