Estimating costs and benefits of CTL escape mutations in SIV/HIV infection

Publication date

2006-03

Authors

Ganusov, V.V.
Boer, R.J. de

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Abstract

Due to their high mutation rate, RNA viruses—like SIV and HIV—can avoid recognition by the host immune response by evolving new variants (i.e., immune escape mutants). Avoiding the cytotoxic T lymphocyte (CTL) immune responses is one of the major obstacles for the development of vaccines to HIV, and this avoidance seems a major mechanism of HIV disease progression to AIDS. Using a relatively general mathematical model, Ganusov and De Boer suggest a simple technique by which two main parameters determining the likelihood of viral escape can be estimated. First is the ‘‘cost’’ of the escape mutation, which is the relative fitness reduction in the virus replication rate. Second is the rate at which the CTL response specific for one epitope ‘‘clears’’ virus-infected cells. Application of their technique to data on virus escape helps to quantify the costs and benefits of CTL escape mutations in SIV/HIV infection.

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