The Geopolitics of AI-Driven Arms Races

Publication date

2026-05

Authors

Eslami, Mohammad
Vieira, Alena
Adib-Moghaddam, Arshin
Borges, Lauro
Papageorgiou, Maria
Cristiano, FabioORCID 0000-0002-0951-9648ISNI 0000000492960980
Al- Marashi, Ibrahim
Sauer, Tom
Kaunert, Christian

Editors

Advisors

Supervisors

Document Type

Article
Open Access logo

License

taverne

Abstract

This forum highlights the disruptive implications of AI for the geopolitical landscape by examining its integration into command-and-control systems, military doctrines, and global security discourses. These transformations are embedded in core debates on spatial power projection, supply chain control, technological sovereignty, shifting international alliances, and the changing geography of innovation hubs. AI-assisted arms races are thus understood not only as strategic phenomena between states, but also as drivers of spatial reconfiguration in the global security order. Challenging the reductive metaphor of a singular ‘AI arms race’, the forum conceptualises contemporary rivalries as overlapping, AI-assisted competitions that amplify key strategic domains such as nuclear deterrence, cyber warfare, and air warfare.

Keywords

Taverne, Geography, Planning and Development, Political Science and International Relations

Citation

Eslami, M, Vieira, A, Adib-Moghaddam, A, Borges, L, Papageorgiou, M, Cristiano, F, Al- Marashi, I, Sauer, T & Kaunert, C 2026, 'The Geopolitics of AI-Driven Arms Races', Geopolitics, vol. 31, no. 3, pp. 1178-1220. https://doi.org/10.1080/14650045.2025.2572695