A multinational Delphi consensus to end the COVID-19 public health threat

Publication date

2022-11-10

Authors

Lazarus, Jeffrey V
Romero, Diana
Kopka, Christopher J
Karim, Salim Abdool
Abu-Raddad, Laith J
Almeida, Gisele
Baptista-Leite, Ricardo
Barocas, Joshua A
Barreto, Mauricio L
Bar-Yam, Yaneer

Editors

Advisors

Supervisors

Document Type

Article

Collections

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License

cc_by

Abstract

Despite notable scientific and medical advances, broader political, socioeconomic and behavioural factors continue to undercut the response to the COVID-19 pandemic 1,2. Here we convened, as part of this Delphi study, a diverse, multidisciplinary panel of 386 academic, health, non-governmental organization, government and other experts in COVID-19 response from 112 countries and territories to recommend specific actions to end this persistent global threat to public health. The panel developed a set of 41 consensus statements and 57 recommendations to governments, health systems, industry and other key stakeholders across six domains: communication; health systems; vaccination; prevention; treatment and care; and inequities. In the wake of nearly three years of fragmented global and national responses, it is instructive to note that three of the highest-ranked recommendations call for the adoption of whole-of-society and whole-of-government approaches 1, while maintaining proven prevention measures using a vaccines-plus approach 2 that employs a range of public health and financial support measures to complement vaccination. Other recommendations with at least 99% combined agreement advise governments and other stakeholders to improve communication, rebuild public trust and engage communities 3 in the management of pandemic responses. The findings of the study, which have been further endorsed by 184 organizations globally, include points of unanimous agreement, as well as six recommendations with >5% disagreement, that provide health and social policy actions to address inadequacies in the pandemic response and help to bring this public health threat to an end.

Keywords

COVID-19 Vaccines, COVID-19/economics, Communication, Delphi Technique, Government, Health Education, Health Policy, Humans, International Cooperation, Organizations, Pandemics/economics, Public Health/economics, Public Opinion, General, Journal Article

Citation

Lazarus, J V, Romero, D, Kopka, C J, Karim, S A, Abu-Raddad, L J, Almeida, G, Baptista-Leite, R, Barocas, J A, Barreto, M L, Bar-Yam, Y, Bassat, Q, Batista, C, Bazilian, M, Chiou, S-T, Del Rio, C, Dore, G J, Gao, G F, Gostin, L O, Hellard, M, Jimenez, J L, Kang, G, Lee, N, Matičič, M, McKee, M, Nsanzimana, S, Oliu-Barton, M, Pradelski, B, Pyzik, O, Rabin, K, Raina, S, Rashid, S F, Rathe, M, Saenz, R, Singh, S, Trock-Hempler, M, Villapol, S, Yap, P, Binagwaho, A, Kamarulzaman, A, El-Mohandes, A & COVID-19 Consensus Statement Panel 2022, 'A multinational Delphi consensus to end the COVID-19 public health threat', Nature, vol. 611, no. 7935, pp. 332-345. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-022-05398-2