Mapping and modeling multiple benefits of energy efficiency and emission mitigation in China's cement industry at the provincial level

Abstract

China's cement industry is the second largest energy consumer and key emitter of CO<inf>2</inf> and air pollutants. It accounts for 7% of total energy consumption in China and 15% of CO<inf>2</inf>, 21% of PM, 4% SO<inf>2</inf> and 10% of NOx of total emissions, respectively. Provincial disparities in energy consumption and emissions of CO<inf>2</inf> and air pollutants in China's cement industry are rarely quantified. In this study, an integrated assessment model including provincial energy conservation supply curves (ECSC) (which can shows the cost-effective and technical energy saving potential per province), the Greenhouse Gas and Air Pollution Interactions and Synergies (GAINS) model (which can be used to calculate air pollutant emissions), and ArcGIS (a geographical information system (GIS) with elaborated spatial functions) is developed and used to assess the potential of energy savings in terms of emission mitigation of CO<inf>2</inf> and air pollutants and multiple benefits of energy efficiency measures at the provincial level during the period 2011-2030. The results show significant heterogeneity across provinces in terms of potential of energy saving as well as emission mitigation of CO<inf>2</inf> and air pollutants (i.e. PM, SO<inf>2</inf>, and NOx) in the next two decades. Seven provinces (i.e. Shandong, Sichuan, Jiangsu, Guangdong, Zhejiang, Henan, Hebei), six of which are located in the central- and east-China, account for 47% of the total energy saving potential, equivalent to 26% of baseline energy use in 2030. The energy efficiency measures can help decrease 38% of CO<inf>2</inf>, 23% of SO<inf>2</inf>, 33% of NOx, and 26% of PM emissions in these seven provinces by 2030. This indicates that the multiple benefits should be considered when local policy makers or end users make decisions whether to use energy efficiency measures to solve environmental issues.