Improving genetic prediction by leveraging genetic correlations among human diseases and traits

Publication date

2018-12-01

Authors

Maier, Robert M.
Zhu, Zhihong
Lee, Sang Hong
Trzaskowski, Maciej
Ruderfer, Douglas M.
Stahl, Eli A.
Ripke, Stephan
Wray, Naomi R.
Yang, Jian
Visscher, Peter M.

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Supervisors

Document Type

Article

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Abstract

Genomic prediction has the potential to contribute to precision medicine. However, to date, the utility of such predictors is limited due to low accuracy for most traits. Here theory and simulation study are used to demonstrate that widespread pleiotropy among phenotypes can be utilised to improve genomic risk prediction. We show how a genetic predictor can be created as a weighted index that combines published genome-wide association study (GWAS) summary statistics across many different traits. We apply this framework to predict risk of schizophrenia and bipolar disorder in the Psychiatric Genomics consortium data, finding substantial heterogeneity in prediction accuracy increases across cohorts. For six additional phenotypes in the UK Biobank data, we find increases in prediction accuracy ranging from 0.7% for height to 47% for type 2 diabetes, when using a multi-trait predictor that combines published summary statistics from multiple traits, as compared to a predictor based only on one trait.

Keywords

General Chemistry, General Biochemistry,Genetics and Molecular Biology, General Physics and Astronomy

Citation

Maier, R M, Zhu, Z, Lee, S H, Trzaskowski, M, Ruderfer, D M, Stahl, E A, Ripke, S, Wray, N R, Yang, J, Visscher, P M, Robinson, M R, Forstner, A J, Mcquillin, A, Trubetskoy, V, Wang, W, Wang, Y, Coleman, J R I, Gaspar, H A, De Leeuw, C A, Whitehead Pavlides, J M, Olde Loohuis, L M, Pers, T H, Lee, P H, Charney, A W, Dobbyn, A L, Huckins, L, Boocock, J, Giambartolomei, C, Roussos, P, Mullins, N, Awasthi, S, Agerbo, E, Als, T D, Pedersen, C B, Grove, J, Kupka, R, Regeer, E J, Anjorin, A, Casas, M, Mahon, P B, Allardyce, J, Escott-Price, V, Forty, L, Fraser, C, Kogevinas, M, Frank, J, Streit, F, Strohmaier, J, Treutlein, J, Witt, S H, Kennedy, J L, Strauss, J S, Garnham, J, O'donovan, C, Slaney, C, Steinberg, S, Thorgeirsson, T E, Hautzinger, M, Steffens, M, Perlis, R H, Sánchez-Mora, C, Hipolito, M, Lawson, W B, Nwulia, E A, Levy, S E, Foroud, T M, Jamain, S, Young, A H, Mckay, J D, Albani, D, Zandi, P, Potash, J B, Zhang, P, Raymond Depaulo, J, Bergen, S E, Juréus, A, Karlsson, R, Kandaswamy, R, Mcguffin, P, Rivera, M, Lissowska, J, Cruceanu, C, Lucae, S, Cervantes, P, Budde, M, Gade, K, Heilbronner, U, Pedersen, M G, Morris, D W, Weickert, C S, Weickert, T W, Macintyre, D J, Lawrence, J, Elvsåshagen, T, Smeland, O B, Djurovic, S, Xi, S, Green, E K, Czerski, P M, Hauser, J, Xu, W, Vedder, H, Oruc, L, Spijker, A T, Gordon, S D, Medland, S E, Curtis, D, Mühleisen, T W, Badner, J, Scheftner, W A, Sigurdsson, E, Schork, N J, Schatzberg, A F, Bækvad-Hansen, M, Bybjerg-Grauholm, J, Hansen, C S, Knowles, J A, Szelinger, S, Montgomery, G W, Boks, M, Adolfsson, A N, Hoffmann, P, Bauer, M, Pfennig, A, Leber, M, Kittel-Schneider, S, Reif, A, Del-Favero, J, Fischer, S B, Herms, S, Reinbold, C S, Degenhardt, F, Koller, A C, Maaser, A, Ori, A, Dale, A M, Fan, C C, Greenwood, T A, Nievergelt, C M, Shehktman, T, Shilling, P D, Byerley, W, Bunney, W, Alliey-Rodriguez, N, Clarke, T K, Liu, C, Coryell, W, Akil, H, Burmeister, M, Flickinger, M, Li, J Z, Mcinnis, M G, Meng, F, Thompson, R C, Watson, S J, Zollner, S, Guan, W, Green, M J, Craig, D, Sobell, J L, Milani, L, Gordon-Smith, K, Knott, S V, Perry, A, Parra, J G, Mayoral, F, Rivas, F, Rice, J P, Barchas, J D, Børglum, A D, Mortensen, P B, Mors, O, Grigoroiu-Serbanescu, M, Bellivier, F, Etain, B, Leboyer, M, Ramos-Quiroga, J A, Agartz, I, Amin, F, Azevedo, M H, Bass, N, Black, D W, Blackwood, D H R, Bruggeman, R, Buccola, N G, Choudhury, K, Cloninger, C R, Corvin, A, Craddock, N, Daly, M J, Datta, S, Donohoe, G J, Duan, J, Dudbridge, F, Fanous, A, Freedman, R, Freimer, N B, Friedl, M, Gill, M, Gurling, H, De Haan, L, Hamshere, M L, Hartmann, A M, Holmans, P A, Kahn, R S, Keller, M C, Kenny, E, Kirov, G K, Krabbendam, L, Krasucki, R, Lencz, T, Levinson, D F, Lieberman, J A, Lin, D Y, Linszen, D H, Magnusson, P K E, Maier, W, Malhotra, A K, Mattheisen, M, Mattingsdal, M, Mccarroll, S A, Medeiros, H, Melle, I, Milanova, V, Myin-Germeys, I, Neale, B M, Ophoff, R A, Owen, M J, Pimm, J, Purcell, S M, Puri, V, Quested, D J, Rossin, L, Sanders, A R, Shi, J, Sklar, P, St Clair, D, Stroup, T S, Van Os, J, Wiersma, D & Zammit, S 2018, 'Improving genetic prediction by leveraging genetic correlations among human diseases and traits', Nature Communications, vol. 9, no. 1, 989. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-017-02769-6