Latent class analysis to assess whole-genome sequencing versus broth microdilution for monitoring antimicrobial resistance in livestock

Abstract

Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) monitoring in animals is performed in commensal Escherichia coli, and other microorganisms relevant for human or veterinary health. Due to advances in the field and major reductions in cost, it is expected that whole-genome sequencing (WGS)-based antimicrobial susceptibility testing (AST) will (partly) replace culture-based AST. So far, no studies have been performed without using culture-based AST as the gold standard. Our aim was to use Bayesian latent class analysis to evaluate the accuracy of susceptibility testing of commensal E. coli by WGS-based AST versus culture-based AST as this test does not assume a gold standard. OpenBUGS was used to model two independent tests in three animal populations (N = 150, 50 bacterial isolates per population): veal calves, pigs, and broilers. This resulted in the first estimation of sensitivity and specificity of WGS-based AST versus culture-based AST to detect AMR without a gold standard. Both methods had high sensitivity (>0.92, lowest limit probability interval: 0.76) and specificity was generally high for both methods for all antimicrobial classes except for aminoglycosides and macrolides. We compared WGS results for different length and identity settings (%) of gene alignment and found few differences between the 60/90, 90/90 and 95/95 settings. We recommend to further investigate sensitivity and specificity of WGS-based AST by means of latent class analysis, especially for low-prevalent resistance.