A review of tools and resources to support Decision-Making Under Deep Uncertainty

Publication date

2026-03

Authors

Schlumberger, Julius
Gold, David
Di Fant, Valeria
Winter, Gundula
Taner, Mehmet Ümit
Kwakkel, Jan

Editors

Advisors

Supervisors

Document Type

Article
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License

No license information available

Abstract

Decision-making under Deep Uncertainty (DMDU) offers approaches to support robust, adaptive strategies for complex decision-making. However, practical uptake of DMDU remains limited, partly due to fragmented access to resources and a lack of an inventory of available tools. This study introduces a comprehensive catalogue of tools and resources. Through a structured survey and expert elicitation, we identify 28 resources and 16 tools that support DMDU research and practice and classify them using an established DMDU taxonomy. Our analysis reveals a focus on introductory guidance regarding theory and methods of DMDU application, with some bias toward water-related applications. Technical, method-specific resources on how to implement existing frameworks remain limited. Our results identify tools supporting all core DMDU components, though they highlight persistent scalability challenges. The resulting online catalogue provides a foundation for expanding the use of DMDU in practice and is intended as a living, community-driven platform.

Keywords

Decision-support, Deep uncertainty, Exploratory modeling, Resources, Tools, Software, Environmental Engineering, Modelling and Simulation, Ecological Modelling

Citation

Schlumberger, J, Gold, D, Di Fant, V, Winter, G, Taner, M Ü & Kwakkel, J 2026, 'A review of tools and resources to support Decision-Making Under Deep Uncertainty', Environmental Modelling and Software, vol. 198, 106900. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2026.106900